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Who is our Javier Milei?

PaddyP

Neophyte
I'm sure that most of you have heard that Javier Milei, a self-declared Libertarian and Anarcho-Capitalist, won the Argentinian presidential primary in August. In October, the Argentinians will go to the polls and will hopefully vote in the first Libertarian leader in modern history that I know of.

As reported by Philipp Bagus at the Mises Institute, Javier is following a "strategy of right-wing populism designed by Murray Rothbard". Would such a strategy work in Australia? If so, who is our Javier Milei?

Tucker Carlson interview with Javier Milei
Is Javier Milei Argentina's Ron Paul Moment?
 
He's definitely following the 10 rules of the Rothbard caucus, which is the strategy focus for the party. In particular I see:

Principled Populism

The Libertarian Party is a mass-participation party operating in the electoral area and elsewhere, devoted to consistent libertarian principles, and committed to liberty and justice for all. The Libertarian Party trusts in and relies on the people to welcome a program of liberty and justice and always aims strategically at convincing the bulk of the people of the soundness of libertarian doctrine.

Rights Are Primary
The central commitment of the Libertarian Party is to individual liberty on the basis of rights and moral principle, and not on the basis of economic cost-benefit estimates.

Power Elite Analysis

Society is divided into a state-privileged class and a state-oppressed class and is ruled by a power elite. The proper class analysis is rulers vs. ruled. Libertarian Party strategy and pronouncements will reflect these facts.

Resistance & The Oppressed

The Libertarian Party will make a special effort to recruit members from groups most oppressed by the government so that the indignation of those who experience oppression is joined to that of those who oppose oppression in principle. The Libertarian Party will never approve of the initiation of force, nor will it rule out self-defence and resistance to tyranny.

No Compromise

All reforms advocated by the Libertarian Party will diminish governmental power and no such reforms will contradict the goal of a totally free society. Holding high our principles means avoiding completely the quagmire of self-imposed, obligatory gradualism: We will avoid the view that, in the name of fairness, abating suffering, or fulfilling expectations, we must temporise and stall on the road to liberty.

Radical Abolitionism

As the word radical means "going to the root" of something, radical Libertarians will not merely propose small changes to the status quo and debate the fine points of government policy with their opponents, but will propose the abolition of State institutions and programs while calling attention to the evil at their base: aggression, violence, and tyranny inherent in the State. Because justice and logic are on our side, the best candidates and spokespersons will sound eminently reasonable while maintaining radical libertarian positions.

All are important (ones not mentioned as well) but radical abolitionism seems to be where the rubber hits the road imo... "END THE FED etc." vs. trying to reform it etc. Abolitionist vs. gradualist.

I don't see anyone locally who has this. Limberick is weak, Ruddick isn't able to educate per se (others writing his speeches - there isn't a radical hatred of the state I see).

There is someone I'd recommend and think could be a great potential Ron Paul equivalent; Mark Hornshaw. Spoke at several Mises Seminars, active in the FB group, solid educator, humble etc.

Needs to be someone not seeking it out per se; like Ron - who happens to get in.
 
The interview with Carlson was a huge missed opportunity, IMO 🥺

He centered the interview talking about "the ghost of socialism".
He seemed more like an evangelical pastor of those churches/sects talking about "the antichrist" than a serious economist.
Tuckson didn't contribute much with his questions either.
Sadly that only reinforces the idea that he is a "populist right-wing extremist kamikaze", which many people already have in their heads, and that is why there are so many people terrified back there in Argentina about the fact that he could come to power (among them, my family).

The interview may sound good to fans, but at this point to reach a more massive audience he must moderate himself a little and focus on his reasonable and well-founded proposals (which he has), and not contribute to sowing more panic or the classic populist appeal of "finding an enemy" (in this case "the socialism").



Milei has much better interviews, like this one, where he presents his proposals in a much more serious, realistic, and convincing way.



There is a very interesting debate where they discuss ideas with another "leftist" candidate in a philosophical field.
5 hours, is too long, I know... not suitable for having to watch relying on the auto-generated English subtitles 😜...
But luckily, it is summarized at Eightify:
2023-09-21_09-52-37.png

Milei's extremism can be seen in parts of the interview where they talk about "the right to starve" (3:38:50), where Miley argues that if you have the possibility of working an 18-hour day or being enslaved, you still have "freedom" to not accept that and then starve to death... he takes his argument to the absurd, basically.

Or pollution (3:13:00), where Milei says that everything is because "property rights are badly assigned". They give an example of a company polluting a river, Milei says that we should "privatize the river", then the owner of the river would protect it from the polluting company because it would be in its own interest because they can obtain more profit that way.
This example is clearly unrealistic, the polluting company could "buy the river" if that is more profitable for them than treating the waste.

This is what many call "savage capitalism", and when you see that kind of argument, you can understand the reasons.

Just because we have a bulldozer and a chainsaw doesn't mean we can go out and cut down the entire forest because it is profitable to sell the wood... what would be the solution? privatize the forest?... it is simply unrealistic to think that everything can work by somehow aligning the incentives to obtain economic profits... there are things that simply cannot be fixed that way.

The "law of the jungle" may work for the species of the jungle... but for a technological species that has the capacity to destroy the planet or completely exhaust its resources, things are different.

I think the radicalized extremes are not good, not this, nor the followers of Modern Monetary Theory who believe that we can achieve healthcare for all, education, etc, etc by simply printing money out of thin air.

Anyway, this is for a debate with a few 🍺 in between, too long to do it by text 😄
 
Thanks for joining Cicher and giving your perspective.

that is why there are so many people terrified back there in Argentina about the fact that he could come to power (among them, my family).

What are they terrified of exactly? :unsure: That he'll abolish welfare? Get rid of government jobs? How are they going handling hyperinflation ATM?

The interview may sound good to fans, but at this point to reach a more massive audience he must moderate himself a little and focus on his reasonable and well-founded proposals (which he has), and not contribute to sowing more panic or the classic populist appeal of "finding an enemy" (in this case "the socialism").

I disagree completely.

The pattern repeats itself so often that it almost seems to be a law of history: the radicals who change history must do so over the resistance of the moderates, who claim to be friendly to the same cause, but somehow always end up on the side of established interests.​

In one sense, the adoption of libertarian values and institutions would be a return; in another, it would be a profound and radical advance. For while the older libertarians were essentially revolutionary, they allowed partial successes to turn themselves strategically and tactically into seeming defenders of the status quo, mere resisters of change. In taking this stance, the earlier libertarians lost their radical perspective; for libertarianism has never come fully into being.

What they must do is become “radicals” once again, as Jefferson and Price and Cobden and Thoreau were before them. To do this they must hold aloft the banner of their ultimate goal, the ultimate triumph of the age-old logic of the concepts of free market, liberty, and private property rights. That ultimate goal is the dissolution of the State into the social organism, the privatizing of the public sector.
Murray N. Rothbard, Capitalism versus Statism​

If anything I think he can remain radical and abolitionist, but more Dr. Ron Paul style - where it's bringing folks together vs. the enemy of the state, which is the proper class analysis - not tactically inept commentary against "leftists" (implying he is 'right wing') (if that is the proper translation being used).

Milei's extremism can be seen in parts of the interview where they talk about "the right to starve" (3:38:50), where Miley argues that if you have the possibility of working an 18-hour day or being enslaved, you still have "freedom" to not accept that and then starve to death... he takes his argument to the absurd, basically.

Unfortunately not able to get English translation happening. No such thing as a "right to starve". I would suggest understanding:

Number 7: Charity and Poverty​

A common complaint is that the free market would not insure the elimination of poverty, that it would "leave people free to starve," and that it is far better to be "kindhearted" and give "charity" free rein by taxing the rest of the populace in order to subsidize the poor and the substandard.​
In the first place, the "freedom-to-starve" argument confuses the "war against nature," which we all conduct, with the problem of freedom from interference by other persons. We are always "free to starve" unless we pursue our conquest of nature, for that is our natural condition. But "freedom" refers to absence of molestation by other persons; it is purely an interpersonal problem.
Secondly, it should also be clear that it is precisely voluntary exchange and free capitalism that have led to an enormous improvement in living standards. Capitalist production is the only method by which poverty can be wiped out. As we stressed above, production must come first, and only freedom allows people to produce in the best and most efficient way possible. Force and violence may "distribute," but it cannot produce. Intervention hampers production, and socialism cannot calculate. Since production of consumer satisfactions is maximized on the free market, the free market is the only way to abolish poverty. Dictates and legislation cannot do so; in fact, they can only make matters worse...​

More from Ben O'Neill (has spoken at every Mises Seminar) -> Is the Starving Man Free?

Or pollution (3:13:00), where Milei says that everything is because "property rights are badly assigned". They give an example of a company polluting a river, Milei says that we should "privatize the river", then the owner of the river would protect it from the polluting company because it would be in its own interest because they can obtain more profit that way.
This example is clearly unrealistic, the polluting company could "buy the river" if that is more profitable for them than treating the waste.

He's more or less right. The principles are laid out best here in Rothbard's canonical work. Further:

The Friedmanites concede the existence of air pollution but propose to meet it, not by a defense of property rights, but rather by a supposedly utilitarian “cost-benefit” calculation by government, which will then make and enforce a “social decision” on how much pollution to allow. This decision would then be enforced either by licensing a given amount of pollution (the granting of “pollution rights”), by a graded scale of taxes against it, or by the taxpayers paying firms not to pollute. Not only would these proposals grant an enormous amount of bureaucratic power to government in the name of safeguarding the “free market”; they would continue to override property rights in the name of a collective decision enforced by the State. This is far from any genuine “free market,” and reveals that, as in many other economic areas, it is impossible to really defend freedom and the free market without insisting on defending the rights of private property.
Murray N. Rothbard, For A New Liberty, p. 325​

Easement rights are important; if you have a better claim to getting X water at a certain quality prior to the new polluter - could simply get an injunction, seek damages etc. Not understanding this results in coming to the conclusion you do.

What's completely unrealistic is your hypothetical complaint vs. the literal current status quo:

... First, the rivers. The rivers, and the oceans too, are generally owned by the government; private property, certainly complete private property, has not been permitted in the water. In essence, then, government owns the rivers. But government ownership is not true ownership, because the government officials, while able to control the resource cannot themselves reap their capital value on the market. Government officials cannot sell the rivers or sell stock in them. Hence, they have no economic incentive to preserve the purity and value of the rivers. Rivers are, then, in the economic sense, "unowned"; therefore government officials have permitted their corruption and pollution...
It reminds me of this:

Perhaps the most flagrant testimony to the intellectual shallowness of statism is that the typical statist believes that the fantastically hypothetical threat of a corporation monopolizing the supply of water is a devastating objection to libertarianism, but the painfully real threat of a state methodically exterminating tens of millions of individuals is not a devastating objection to statism.
— Jakub Bozydar Wisniewski

This is what many call "savage capitalism", and when you see that kind of argument, you can understand the reasons.

Bourgeois socialism is the far more apt term.

Just because we have a bulldozer and a chainsaw doesn't mean we can go out and cut down the entire forest because it is profitable to sell the wood... what would be the solution? privatize the forest?... it is simply unrealistic to think that everything can work by somehow aligning the incentives to obtain economic profits... there are things that simply cannot be fixed that way.

What's completely unrealistic is thinking that maintaining the tragedy of the commons and the inability of states to rationally allocate resources (economic calculation) is a better more justifiable alternative than allowing for the principles of conservation in the free market.

The "law of the jungle" may work for the species of the jungle... but for a technological species that has the capacity to destroy the planet or completely exhaust its resources, things are different.

To apply the principle of the “survival of the fittest” to both the jungle and the market is to ignore the basic question: Fitness for what? The “fit” in the jungle are those most adept at the exercise of brute force. The “fit” on the market are those most adept in the service of society. The jungle is a brutish place where some seize from others and all live at the starvation level; the market is a peaceful and productive place where all serve themselves and others at the same time and live at infinitely higher levels of consumption. On the market, the charitable can provide aid, a luxury that cannot exist in the jungle.
— Murray Rothbard, Power & Market - Chapter 6

I think the radicalized extremes are not good, not this, nor the followers of Modern Monetary Theory who believe that we can achieve healthcare for all, education, etc, etc by simply printing money out of thin air.

The so-called interventionism/“third way”/“mixed economy”, etc. is not a golden mean between “absolute freedom” and absolute slavery, just as beating someone unconscious is not a golden mean between leaving someone in peace and beating him to death. Interventionism—as shown by Mises—is always absolute slavery in the making, that is, an extreme position in an unambiguously negative sense of the term.​
On the other hand, “absolute freedom"—or simply consistent and principled freedom, limited exclusively by the equal freedom of others—is a golden mean between enslaving others and allowing others to enslave you. In other words, in the context of the principle of the golden mean, the libertarian attitude towards individual liberty is a perfect example of a moderate position, an ethical optimum between the extremes of various forms of slave relations.​
— Jakub Bozydar Wisniewski​
 
Thanks for all the discussion and sharing guys.

As an Australian-Argentine I couldn't be more excited to read you all.

I'm traveling to Buenos Aires soon to live Rothbarian Austro-Economics Javier Miler getting into power first hand.

We need a "Javier Milei" in Australia too and will eventually have one because he is putting forward a revolution. And the way it started in Argentina about 6 years ago, with this charismatic person who connects with Argentine people's ideals in many ways (ex-football player, ex-musician, professional economist, academic and kama-sutra professor, a very passionate person in general) who started going on TV and media giving what he calls the "cultural battle" against socialism. After winning the cultural battle and opening people's minds again and again he finally decided to jump into dirty politics founding a completely new party "La Libertad Avanza" (freedom steps forward) free from the dominating political coalition, with all new people, respected honest working people coming from the private sector same as he did.

His charisma brought ratings to the media, people were really interested in him. He became unstoppable and completely won people's hearts I think when he promised that if elected in the people's chamber (congress) - he would raffle his salary to give it back to taxpayers every month. AND HE DID AND CONTINUES TO DO! This was a brilliant move not only because it was consistent with his belief and he promised what he preached which is something difficult to find at least in an Argentine politician... but also because it exposed that congressmen's salaries are MUCH HIGHER than what an average person gets by doing honest work. (By the way, congressmen in Australia have earned average salaries until 2015 if I'm not mistaken they've voted to raise their own salaries now -are earning above 200k+ a year)

Javier Milei's rise to power is historical because is probably the first outsider who didn't negotiate with the existing power, he created his own and that's why there is huge hope he will remain consistent during this presidency (because he doesn't "owe his power" to anyone but the voting people) and if he is successful which I think he will, could easily get reelected for 4 years more. (Bukele did start in a major party before spinning off to his own).

I think I saw Mark Hornshaw at the Bitcoin Alive 2023 conference in Sydney, was that him? If so, he has developed his charisma at least compared with the shared video :) I wonder if he reads this blog too. I hope so to be honest and would like to hear his opinions on all this.

Viva la LIBERTAD, CARAJO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
I think I saw Mark Hornshaw at the Bitcoin Alive 2023 conference in Sydney, was that him? If so, he has developed his charisma at least compared with the shared video :) I wonder if he reads this blog too.

I was there as well — alas no Mark at Bitcoin Alive 2023. I've mentioned this to him. He certainly should get across to the 2024 one! Wonder who you're thinking about instead 🤔 .
 
I think I saw Mark Hornshaw at the Bitcoin Alive 2023 conference in Sydney, was that him? If so, he has developed his charisma at least compared with the shared video :) I wonder if he reads this blog too. I hope so to be honest and would like to hear his opinions on all this.

Viva la LIBERTAD, CARAJO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hi Rodvar,
Great to meet you. I would love to travel to Buenos Aires with you and be a part of history in the making.
Sorry, I wasn't at Bitcoin alive but am happy that my stunt double was there and made a good impression, haha.
Here is a more recent video of me (with my daughter) starting from 1.51.
 
Please allow me to introduce myself. I'm Brazilian, have lived through hyperinflation and asset confiscation during the 1980-90s, living in Australia for 20 years now.
Does anyone else think a campaign to add a few zeros to the tax free threshold might have popular support?
Absolutely YES! The establishment will retweet in unison alongside their dread and sneer, attracting the attention of everyone who already sense something smells to our camp.


He's definitely following the 10 rules of the Rothbard caucus, which is the strategy focus for the party. In particular I see:
@Conza, what's your connection to the political parties in Australia? I just lent a hand to the Dunkley by-election, and I found the tone of the Libertarian Party very bland and uninspiring. It feels like they're making a huge effort not to rock the boat. And it would take one "I'm for adding a few zeros to the tax free threshold" or "I'm for repealing both the minimum wage and immigration restrictions" to get invitations to comedy radio shows everywhere.

And I don't mean it in a bad way. While I was letterboxing and handing out how-to-vote cards I felt like the cart was ahead of the donkey. How are we shifting people's political worldview 10 meters from the ballot box? We should be waging cultural wars and feeding division in society, exactly like Bolsonaro (though Libertarian he is not) and Milei (❤️) did.

I recommend everyone who can understand Spanish to hear Milei's Demoliendo Mitos radio programs in Conexión Abierta radio. The guy is a legend. Imagine Rothbard screaming abuse from the grandstand. That's him. Very entertaining, very lucid.

I can't help but link the last episode before everyone had to go into COVID lockdown. He starts waving the Anarcho Capitalist flag while screaming

Stuff the State into your <REDACTED>, into the <REDACTED> of your mothers, Leftist scum!

That kind of speech is as common among washed South American responsible, respectable politicians as it is in Australia. And then he turns to his professorial voice

The State implies a violent solution -- always.

Gold.
 
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I can't stress this enough. If you're embarrassed of your values, you're not convincing anyone they're good. You are not sneaking Libertarianism into the political debate. Either you raise your voice and state your principles unambiguously, or they already won inside your brain.
 
@Conza, what's your connection to the political parties in Australia? I just lent a hand to the Dunkley by-election, and I found the tone of the Libertarian Party very bland and uninspiring. It feels like they're making a huge effort not to rock the boat. And it would take one "I'm for adding a few zeros to the tax free threshold" or "I'm for repealing both the minimum wage and immigration restrictions" to get invitations to comedy radio shows everywhere.

And I don't mean it in a bad way. While I was letterboxing and handing out how-to-vote cards I felt like the cart was ahead of the donkey. How are we shifting people's political worldview 10 meters from the ballot box? We should be waging cultural wars and feeding division in society, exactly like Bolsonaro (though Libertarian he is not) and Milei (❤️) did.

You mean the former LDP (libertarians.org.au)? That Libertarian Party? The one that didn't care there was another one that already existed and was well towards registration in NSW?

Contrast them with:
libertarianparty.org.au . Or read the post in the Guest Forums: https://community.libertarian.au/threads/don%E2%80%99t-tread-on-us-a-special-message-from-the-libertarian-party-of-australia.15/ . Which very much requires an update re: the latest outcome.

Everything you're intuitively railing against; is everything I and a few others did everything we could possibly do to stop. They're almost all historically and strategically illiterate.

The best thing about the LDP over the 20 years they existed was that I didn't feel any need to correct their hot takes, and woeful strategic approach because they were "Liberal Democrats" :ROFLMAO:. I wasn't tarnished by association. Unfortunately that is no longer the case.

Such a sad day when a convicted criminal from the Liberal party; gets out of prison, then given he has no hope in politics in that party, joins another and rises the ranks in the LDP. He manages to get 'success' because they've been endless factional wars over the years (as a result of their strategy being consistently utilitarian/"pragmatic" and inept from conception, with zero effective execution), and thus manages to herd the cats. Manically he then lied at a National Conference to get the vote across the line to change their constitution to take the name. What vote failed at that same conference? To put educating others about libertarianism as part of their constitution — that failed. Verifying our concerns (and why we didn't just give them the name); despite me actively wanting to be pitched on how they would make/ensure the "LDP" became/remained a libertarian party.

What's even more comical is the shade/angst thrown at the 'purists' Rothbardians all these years indicating 'uh guys, if you want to make change - need to do the Ron Paul (Rothbard caucus) approach)...
to which they all mocked etc... only to have Javier do exactly that. Now there's an ancap as president of a massive nation; and they literally start trying to 'talk' a strong game, but they can't even manage to do that. 🤷‍♂️
 
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